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Future Plot
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A Curve of Human Ingenuity: U.S. Patents Issued.


Something's happening here, and what it is ain't exactly clear:

   From Patent No. 1  to 1,000,000:  75 years.
   From No. 1,000,000 to 2,000,000:  25 years.
   From No. 2,000,000 to 3,000,000:  25 years.
   From No. 3,000,000 to 4,000,000:  15 years.
   From No. 4,000,000 to 5,000,000:  15 years.
   From No. 5,000,000 to 6,000,000:   8 years.

  • Reason to be bullish on humanity?
  • Or is it hubris in bloom ("Pride goeth before the fall," etc.)?
  • Evidence that we're finally unleashing our global intelligence (the inventors behind the numbers above are not just Americans; they are transnational)?
  • The death of art?
  • Or just the birth pains of new arts?
  • International capitalist exploitation?
  • Or hope for billions of children whose parents had no hope?

See also Doc Cuddy's take on this curve: The Really Big Mo.

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